snowpack on mt san jacinto
The highest probability of precipitation is early morning on Friday 2nd. Measurements taken on Monday 30th were unchanged by Wednesday 1st. Cloud cover started to envelop the mountains early this morning. At the Peak on Thursday 8th December 2022 at 0900 the air temperature was 28.4F (-2C), with a windchill temperature of 12.7F (-11C), 11% relative humidity, and a fresh SW wind sustained at 7 mph gusting to 9.3 mph. When the gate is closed there are nine legal parking spaces this side of the locked gate (which still require an Adventure Pass or equivalent to be displayed). 16 F. Although the snow is not particularly deep (10-12 inches) it is heavily drifted and steeply angled, and has at least one ice layer underneath the fresh powder. Note that generally the maximum depths so far this winter were immediately following the major storm sequence on 14th-17th January 2023 (details of those depths available here). This was tricky for postholing which went through the ice layer. Spikes are expected to remain extremely useful over the next few weeks given the unpredictable weather. If there are Road Closed signs further down at the junction with Forest Drive as is often the case at weekends and holidays when snow is present then those nine spaces are also unavailable for legal parking. However excellent well-traveled and compacted tracks are now in place for most of the major trails (details below). Snow depths are expected to change multiple times over the next ten days due to mixed precipitation, including even possibly loss of snow at mid elevations due to rainfall. All trails above about 8000 ft are obscured by snow at this time, and cautious navigation is strongly recommended everywhere. Steady melting of snow, especially on sun-exposed slopes, and freeze-thaw cycles will combine to change trail conditions and potentially the preferred equipment for the terrain. Zelle, Venmo, and PayPal are all options. Thursday 5th January saw the fifth storm in the past ten days in the San Jacinto mountains. Snow from the moderate storm on 8th-9th November (discussed here) continues to melt slowly. Monday 5th was the first day since the snow storm in early November that I did not use spikes for descending, as the icy snow in the high country was crisp and grippy in cold, cloudy conditions. I recorded a short video at San Jacinto Peak early on the morning of Monday 12th December (available here) which gives a feel for conditions as the storm was nearing its end. Combined with a weak sun at this time of year, snow melt will generally be very slow at upper elevations, and conditions will be ideal for freeze/thaw cycles and hence icy trails. The advice above should be used with this in mind, and if in any doubt carry the necessary traction devices that you will be most comfortable using. Snow is virtually continuous from there to San Jacinto Peak, with an excellent track to follow. In general temperatures are expected to warm to above average into next month at all elevations, especially at the highest elevations in the first week of February. Hikers who have an ice axe (and know how to use it) may find it useful in places on this short section of trail. Although the flakes are small, it has been steadily accumulating at an inch per hour, with about six inches fresh powder so far today, for a Peak area total of about 30 inches. Later that morning at San Jacinto Peak, I measured a windchill temperature of -26.3F (-32C), the fourth lowest temperature I have ever recorded there. Note that temperatures fluctuating either side of freezing are forecast for both mid and upper elevations. This trail has had limited hiker traffic since November 2018, largely because Dark Canyon Road has only been open for a few months since February 2019. Hikers should be prepared for temperatures below freezing in the high country, and far below freezing when considering wind chill effects (see below for my recent weather observations from San Jacinto Peak). UPDATE Wednesday 28th December: the overnight rain storm produced 0.73 inch in Idyllwild (measured at 5550 ft) while Long Valley (8600 ft) led San Jacinto mountain locations in rainfall with 1.01 inch. Forecasts are increasingly confident of a moderate storm on Sunday 11th, with up to 1.5 inch of rain at the elevation of Idyllwild, turning into 1-3 inches of light snow on Sunday night, while 8-14 inches of snow are forecast for the high country. High freeze levels may mean rain and/or freezing rain at the highest peaks at times, and icy or mixed snow/ice conditions at all elevations. Hikers who have an ice axe (and know how to use it) may find it useful in places on this short section of trail. Winters are highly variable in Mount San Jacinto State Park. However the fresh powder is very fine and drifting heavily in the strong SW wind, and I had 2-3 inches in places in the upper Peak Trail. They are now invaluable on heavily traveled, compacted, icy tracks (before they clear of snow in the coming weeks) such as Devils Slide, Ernie Maxwell, and Deer Springs trails, at least, especially mornings when conditions tend to be most icy, and for descending. As mentioned above, the focus is on heavy snowfall expected over the next 5-6 days (and potentially again on 28th February-1st March). This is a brief summary of conditions following the second Pacific storm, and the first significant snowfall, of winter 2022/23 to impact the San Jacinto mountains. They are not currently recommended for traversing moderate or higher angle slopes above 9000 ft that have challenging ice underlying powder. San Jacinto Peak (10810 ft): 45-48 inches (includes about 24 inches snow in latest storms), heavily drifted to 60 inches in places, especially on the East Ridge. Mount Waterman. Schwartz said she and a friend were driving west to Palm Springs on Interstate 10 at about 9 a.m. local time when the friend saw the snow start to move. Snow Valley Mountain Resort. One major treefall hazard is across the trail almost exactly midway between the trailheads at Humber Park and Tahquitz View Drive. Secondly, because there is really very little snow on the PCT. Use this relief map to navigate to mountain peaks in the area of Mount San Jacinto Peak. Sadly it is looking increasingly likely that neither storm will significantly impact the San Jacinto mountains. Conditions are currently excellent for avalanches on specific terrain in the San Jacinto high country, as proven below. 2-3 inches on 9th), Saddle Junction/approx. UPDATE Friday 20th January: Overnight Idyllwild had a very light dusting (<0.25 inch) of snow, but the high country was above the cloud so existing tracks should be unaffected. Most of the upper half of the trail had 3-4 inches of lovely fluffy powder. The Caramba Trail from near Reeds Meadow through Laws Camp and on to Caramba, and the Cedar Trail from Willow Creek Trail to Laws, are described by the Forest Service as not maintained. Snow cover remains >95% through Little Round Valley up to San Jacinto Peak. Above Saddle there was a layer of fresh powder (from the previous night) on top of a thick layer of ice, itself on top of more snow from prior storms. An excellent track is easy to follow to Little Round Valley. This morning the PCT at the top of Spitler Peak Trail (roughly Mile 168.5) was basically clear of snow. Deer Springs Trail has a broken track to follow all the way to San Jacinto Peak. San Jacinto Peak (10810 ft): 22-24 inches (includes 6 inches added on 5th January), Wellman Divide (9700 ft): 15 inches (5 inches snow plus unknown quantity of rain on 5th), Annies Junction/PCT Mile 180.8 (9070 ft): 17 inches (5 inches snow plus unknown quantity of rain on 5th), Long Valley (8600 ft): 8 inches (2 inches on 5th), Saddle Junction/PCT Mile 179 (8070 ft): 10 inches (2 inches snow plus unknown quantity of rain on 5th), Devils Slide trailhead at Humber Park (6550 ft): 3-5 inches (1 inch snow plus >1.0 inch rain on 5th). This was immediately followed by a milder storm on 22nd-23rd that brought heavy snowfall with 13 inches in Idyllwild across a 30 hour period (measured at 5550 ft), and about 18 inches in Long Valley (8600 ft). Spikes will likely become more increasingly useful over the next few days as established trails become consolidated by hiker traffic and undergo freeze-thaw cycles. Conversely in places scouring by the wind means the depths are well below the average. Forecasts are currently indicating about 30-40 inches of snow for the highest peaks of the San Jacinto mountains (>10,000 ft) between 21st and 25th February, and about 18-30 inches for Idyllwild (5000-6000 ft elevations). Light or moderate rain is currently forecast daily at mid elevations (possibly totaling one inch in Idyllwild), with an uncertain possibility of light snow in the high country (<3 inches above 10,000 ft elevation). I put in a posthole track the entire way up, but crampons (with an ice axe) were essential at that time on the upper switchbacks above about 8300 ft due to the typical steeply angled ice obscured underneath 6-12 inches of powder (photos below). UPDATE Monday 13th February: the first of two consecutive minor storms came through this morning, and produced more snow than was generally forecast. The Ernie Maxwell Trail is functionally clear of icy snow, although a few minor patches remain, especially close to Humber Park. Even around the 10,000 ft peaks temperatures are expected to fluctuate either side of freezing for at least the first half of February, which will lead to freeze/thaw cycles and likely icy conditions in the mornings followed by soft, challenging snow in the afternoons. Thank you so much for your support. Mountain Sunrise Hike and Meditation in Palm Springs. Spikes are not essential, but many hikers may find them useful depending on their comfort level hiking on thin icy snow. Long Valley at 8600 ft on the east slope received only about two inches of fresh snow. An additional six inches of accumulation today brings the total in Idyllwild since 21st February to 20.5 inches. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible. With some melting already underway and compaction caused by freeze-thaw cycles and hiker traffic, conditions will deteriorate for snowshoeing over the next few days, especially on more heavily traveled trails below 9000ft. Currently the USFS gate at Humber Park is closed. Climb the remaining 5,100 feet of snow and or ice in one of the several chutes. All trails above about 5000 ft are currently snow-covered. An additional 5.5 inches of snow fell in Idyllwild overnight, rather more than forecast, meaning we had to dig out yet again this morning. I stubbornly kept on my snowshoes to 10,100 ft elevation on the Peak Trail, despite some lateral slipping as I traversed the icy snow slopes. Skyscrapers & Towers. Long Valley (8600 ft) has added about two inches, where it continues to snow gently this morning. Temperatures will be below seasonal for December for at least the next week, with many days cloudy or at least partly cloudy. Spikes tend to be especially useful for descending trails. Devils Slide Trail is functionally clear of icy snow to Saddle Junction. San Jacinto Peak (10810 ft): 10-12 inches (12-14 inches on 12th December), Little Round Valley (9800 ft): 9 inches (10-12 inches on 12th December), Wellman Divide (9700 ft): 2-4 inches (7 inches on 12th December), Annies Junction/approx. Every year seems to have unique challenges and 2023 is already proving to be no exception. 32mi . This may result in very strong winds and bitterly cold windchill temperatures at upper elevations. Note that averages are given; due to strong winds and light powder there is extreme drifting. Currently, and increasingly as snow conditions change, spikes are strongly recommended for the foreseeable future everywhere above about 7000 ft, lower in places. The rainfall totals at mid elevations were unremarkable, especially compared to those of the storm in early November (discussed here). They tend to be especially valuable for descending trails. On 22nd for example I wore spikes down to about 7500 ft on Marion Mountain Trail, while on 27th I wore spikes down the Peak and Wellman trails and PCT down to 9000 ft. Clearly conditions are expected to continue to change over the next week or two, so this summary is intentionally brief. The storm expected on 28th November failed to materialize, producing only below average temperatures, wind, and spectacular clouds (photos below). The Trail Report has adopted Seven Pines Trail as a priority for maintenance work as the trail has had a disproportionate number of lost hiker rescues in the past decade. Idyllwild (data from 5550 ft) received a prodigious 4.01 inches of rain in the 31 hours starting at midnight on Monday 7th. San Jacinto Peak (10810 ft): 10 inches (was 12 inches on 9th), Little Round Valley (9800 ft): 7-8 inches (photo above), Wellman Divide (9700 ft): 3 inches (was 4 inches on 9th), Round Valley (9100 ft): was 4 inches on 9th, Annies Junction/approx. New treefall hazards on major trails have been reported to relevant agencies, and those on Spitler Peak Trail have already been cleared by the Trail Report. By the afternoon of 15th, melting was already underway below 7000 ft. Spikes are generally not required for ascending, but most hikers find them useful at least for descending. The State Park Stone Creek campground is also closed. Hamilton, we saw snow falling and covering the Saratoga Hills, just about 15 minutes from town. This was discussed in, Minor snow storm in the early hours of Tuesday 3rd January 2023 then turned to rain all day. That said, it has just started gently snowing in both locations, so storm totals may increase slightly over the next couple of hours. Melting of snow on sun-exposed slopes and freeze-thaw cycles will combine to change trail conditions and potentially the preferred equipment for the terrain. The second system, possible in a broad time window between 2nd and 4th December, may produce significant snow in the high country (forecasts have ranged widely from 0-30 inches above 10,000 ft!) Hikers should be prepared for temperatures well below freezing in the high country, and far below freezing when considering wind chill effects (see below for my recent weather observations from San Jacinto Peak). Note that average depth is given; due to strong winds accompanying the storm there is extensive drifting, often particularly accumulating in the trails. I kept those on for the rest of the ascent, and almost all of the descent, finally removing them most of the way down Devils Slide Trail. There are layers of hard ice and firm icy snow beneath the fresh powder, and crampons are ideal at present everywhere above 9000 ft, potentially lower in places. Winter Hiking: Dangerous conditions exist when snow and ice conditions are present. There is disagreement between the forecast models where the freeze level will be for most of Sunday 11th which may alter the potential snowfall amounts (versus rainfall) at mid elevations. There is a well-traveled track on light icy snow from Long Valley/Tram to Wellman Divide. Even when the gate is closed there are nine legal parking spaces below the locked gate (which still require an Adventure Pass or equivalent to be displayed). The freeze level is currently at about 7500 ft and it has been periodically snowing gently above that elevation, with Long Valley (8600 ft) having added a few inches overnight, for a current total depth of about 24 inches. San Jacinto Peak is the highest peak in the California State Park system, and the second-highest point in southern California. Schwartz said her and a friend were driving west on Interstate 10, making their way to Palm Springs. Snowshoes are not advisable due to the angle of the icy snow. Freeze levels will be well below 3000 ft at times, and for example Garner Valley (4300-4800 ft) could receive as much as 6-12 inches of snow this week. Thank you so much for your support. Mount San Jacinto State Park. Cautious navigation is strongly recommended everywhere. The fourteenth and fifteenth storm systems of winter 2022/23 impacted the San Jacinto mountains back-to-back on 13th and 14th February, as discussed in the previous Report available here. Spikes will likely become increasingly useful over the next few days and weeks as established trails become consolidated by hiker traffic and undergo freeze-thaw cycles. Above seasonal temperatures will continue until Sunday 27th November. Very shallow snow is often icy and potentially perilous, while deeper powder can actually be much safer, albeit slow-going for hiking. After some early sleety drizzle it has been snowing in Long Valley (8600 ft) since late morning with 0.75 inch accumulating so far. Vehicles not parked in these spaces may be ticketed and/or towed. A short video summary of what we found is available here. Currently, and as conditions change, spikes are strongly recommended for the foreseeable future everywhere above about 7000 ft. Snow depths measured at various locations on the trail system are given at the foot of this posting. Altitudes are approximate. Windy, with a west wind 45 to 55 mph decreasing to 35 . It continued to drizzle in Idyllwild all day, slowly accumulating to about 0.25 inch of rain. Suitable waterproof footwear is strongly recommended. They tend to be especially useful for descending. 2nd-3rd December). 24F-4C . Spikes are not required. With two further minor snowfalls possible in January, and strong winds in the high country expected on some days causing substantial spindrift, tracks broken through the snow may not last long. Many thanks to Florian Boyd for bringing this to my attention. Every year seems to have its challenges and it is clear already that 2023 will be no exception. Snow cover remains virtually continuous, but a few small patches are clearing below 7000 ft. Spikes are strongly recommended, at least for descending. I kept those on for the rest of the ascent, and almost all of the descent, finally removing them most of the way down Devils Slide Trail. At San Jacinto Peak (10,810ft/3295m) on Wednesday 18th January 2023 at 1115 the air temperature was 16.8F (-8C), with a windchill temperature of -3.6F (-20C), 27% relative humidity, and a frigid NNW wind sustained at 10 mph gusting to 25.8 mph. Although I carried snowshoes it would have been risky to try to use them on the icy traverses. Sadly this phenomenon has become much more of a factor in the past 5-10 years with freezing rainfall (rather than snow) occurring at higher elevations at higher frequency with much warmer weather systems. Be prepared for trails above about 8000 ft (perhaps lower in places) completely or largely obscured by moderate to deep snow. Spikes are recommended at least for descending upper Deer Springs Trail. Multiple mild storm systems are forecast to bring extremely unsettled weather to the San Jacinto mountains starting Tuesday 27th December, lasting well into the first week of January. The storm brought down four new treefall hazards down on upper Spitler Peak Trail, awkward but all passable with care. Temperatures are forecast to remain near or below seasonal averages for at least the next week, with freezing conditions every night above about 4000 ft elevation. These storms are each expected to produce a further 4-6 inches of snow. Avalanche risk in the high country is currently minimal due to snow depths and conditions, with the exception of the traditionally unstable north face of San Jacinto Peak which avalanches to some extent every winter. Many locations below 9000 ft had actually experienced a net loss of snow depth, as the (relatively) warm rain had melted and compacted the pre-existing snow, and so little new snow fell subsequently. The Ernie Maxwell Scenic Trail is largely clear of icy snow, with a few patches remaining, mostly close to Humber Park. Currently spikes at a minimum, and ideally crampons, with an ice axe (and knowledge of how to use it), are strongly recommended. Hikers in the past have died, and more have been seriously injured. The 0.4 mile section of South Ridge Trail between Chinquapin Flat/PCT and Tahquitz Peak has a well-traveled and level track to follow through the slowly melting inch of patchy icy snow (photo below from 30th). Spikes could potentially be used to ascend to the highest peaks at this time, although crampons are certainly safer for traversing. Steady melting of snow, especially on sun-exposed slopes, and freeze-thaw cycles will combine to change trail conditions and potentially the preferred equipment for the terrain. PCT Mile 179.9 (8070 ft): 0-1 inch (was 3 inches on 9th November), Devils Slide Trail at Humber Park (6550 ft): 0 inch (was 2.5 inches on 9th November), Idyllwild (at 5550 ft): 0 inch (was <1 inch on 9th November). UPDATE Thursday 5th January 2023: We are just catching the southern edge of the highly-publicized storm currently passing through central California. There are two new treefall hazards to pass on the upper trail. They are strongly recommended on certain moderate and higher angle slopes, at a minimum on the Peak Trail above Wellman Divide, the Wellman Trail, Deer Springs Trail above Little Round Valley, and uppermost South Ridge Trail, and on both flanks but critically on the north face of Tahquitz Peak. UPDATE Tuesday 3rd January 2023: Following another minor overnight snow storm our fourth in the past week Anabel and I briskly broke trail up Devils Slide to Saddle Junction early this morning. Above Little Round Valley there are at least half-a-dozen tracks ascending toward San Jacinto Peak, none of which entirely accurately follow the established trail route. The lower half of the trail should be largely clear of snow by the weekend. The second system may be more substantial, with precipitation expected most of the day and night of Saturday 31st December into Sunday 1st January. Although excellent tracks are now in place for almost all major trails (details below), cautious navigation is recommended everywhere. Note that temperatures fluctuating either side of freezing are forecast for both mid and upper elevations starting in a few days time. 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